Monaco have scored 52 goals at home in 15 games, and 100% of their games have seen 3 goals in those matches. 82% of Monaco’s games across the season have seen over 2.5 goals. When we come into this tie; we are expecting more goals to flow because of the precarious nature of the situation. Monaco know that they need to win by a 2 goal margin in order to qualify, considering they have 3 away goals. That will test Manchester City who have been in good offensive nick themselves, and will be expected to score a quick goal; leaving the task for Monaco that much harder. Monaco have been leaky in defense recently especially against good teams conceding against Bordeaux, Marseille, PSG, Monpellier, Nice, Bayer Leverkusen, Tottenham, and Lyon.
Manchester City will probably look to their last game against Monaco to watch the highlights and see how Monaco humbled them in the first half of the game, taking them on the counter attack to score 4 second half goals to come back from 2-1 down to take the tie 5-3. One thing is certain with Manchester City, their defense has been weak against all the better sides conceding to Tottenham, Everton, Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea, Man Utd, Barcelona and even Celtic & Monchengladbach this season; which means you can expect goals from them. Manchester City know that in order to kill of Monaco’s advantage, they would need to get 2 goals leaving the task for Monaco to score 4 in order to win the tie; which is a tough ask. Manchester City played a full strength squad on the weekend FA Cup game which could even show some tired legs coming to this encounter.
This game like the first leg, promises to be the tie of the round due to both teams need to score goals and the situation of the tie. I expect to see over 2.5 goals in this encounter.