It was a super intense match where Benfica defenitely had their chances. In their eyes they deserved more and i totally understand that, but if you really look at it objectively, i think that Ajax were the more dangerous team. But of course, bad luck for Benfica that the shot of Mazraoui got deflected and ended behind Vlachodimos in the dying seconds of the game.
Seems like the loss against Ajax did affect the team somehow because they lost against Belenenses and at home against Moreirense.
Seforivic was really impressive in Amsterdam and he is questionable for this match.
Dolberg is fit after all and will travel to Lissabon. But i will not be suprised if Ten Hag will play with Tadic as a striker, something that worked very well against Bayern Munich.
This might be a very different game than we saw in Amsterdam. Benfica has to come as this is a do or die for them which means that Ajax should get also more space for some dangerous counter attacks. I think that the the first minutes will be crucial. If Ajax will survive an early Benfica storm, i think they will be the more dangerous team as the match progresses.
Odds are a little too high for the guests.