ATP Cincinnati: Alex de Minaur (38) vs Reilly Opelka (42)
The odds of Over 24.5 Games in Pinnacle is 1.793 while we are getting Over 23.5 Games @ 1.90 in Bet365. Arbitrage time.
They are very good friends outside the court and spend a lot of time together. They have a lot of respect for each other and being the same age, you would see them competing with each other a lot more.
They recently played in ATP Atlanta, where De Minaur had the better of Opelka and took it in 3 sets (7-6, 6-7, 6-3). Since then De Minaur has lost form and his service game has been disrupted. He needs it back big time to compete against this giant.
Though De Minaur heads the H2H record 2-0, winning both the matches this year, and going on to win the tournament each time he beat Opelka; I think Opelka is the favourite for this match.
It should be a tight and long match of 3 sets or 2 sets of tie-breaks. Should easily see the total games over the line. Opelka to Win and Over 22.5 Games @ 4.00 seems a good bet too for big risk-takers.
Tvmoca propose : Over 23.5 Games